Elisa Varini

IMATI | Research Scientist | Jun 2026

2000 Degree in Mathematics, University of Parma, Italy
2005 PhD in Statistics, Università Bocconi, Milan, Italy

Research Activity

I am interested in stochastic modelling and Bayesian parametric statistics with special focus on point processes, state-space models, Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods, sequential Monte Carlo methods, statistical applications in Geophysics, seismic hazard assessment through data from historical catalogues, statistical methods for multi-hazard risk assessment.

Recent projects

E3DM

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NEA-BES

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CN HPC spoke 5

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PRIN 2022 PNRR SMILE

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RAISE

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Scuola ABS

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Publications

Journal Publications

2026, Journal article
What Seismic Phase is L'Aquila in Fifteen Years After the Mw6.1 Earthquake of April 6, 2009?
Varini, E.; Rotondi, R.; Fuentes, A. G.

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.1002/env.70087
2025, Journal article
A target-based, multi-hazard assessment approach as a tool for supporting decision-making in volcanic areas: a case study in Mt. Etna, Italy
Garcia, A; Sandri, L; Pessina, V; Meroni, F; Varini, E; Cappello, A

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.4401/ag-9173
2025, Journal article
Insights into tectonic zonation models from the clustering analysis of seismicity in southern and south-eastern Spain
Montiel-López, D; Peresan, A; Varini, E; Molina, S

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.5194/nhess-25-3853-2025
2025, Journal article
Towards a probabilistic risk analysis due to volcanic?hazards at Mount Etna
Pessina, Vera; Meroni, Fabrizio; Varini, Elisa; Longoni, Marina; Sandri, Laura; Garcia, Alexander; Cappello, Annalisa

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.4401/ag-9175
2025, Journal article
Variations in Probability Distributions as Indicators of Seismic Phases: A Case Study from Chile
Rotondi, R; Nicolis, O; Varini, E; Ruggeri, F

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.1785/0220240240
2025, Journal article
Volcano?tectonic seismicity and related hazard: a component of the multi?hazard assessment in the highly exposed region of Mt. Etna (Italy)
D'Amico, Salvatore; Azzaro, Raffaele; Tusa, Giuseppina; Tuvè, Tiziana; Varini, Elisa

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.4401/ag-9152
2024, Journal article
Macroseismic intensity attenuation models calibrated in Mw for Italy
Gomez Capera, A; Santulin, M; D'Amico, M; D'Amico, V; Locati, M; Meletti, C; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.1007/s10518-023-01822-8
2024, Journal article
The strongest aftershock in seismic models of epidemic type
Molchan, G; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.1093/gji/ggae001
2023, Journal article
Connection between variations of the probability distribution of the recurrence time and phases of the seismic activity
Varini, E; Rotondi, R

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.3390/e25101441
2023, Journal article
Macroseismic intensity attenuation models calibrated in Mw for Italy
A. A. Gomez-Capera, M. Santulin, M. D'Amico, V. D'Amico, M. Locati, C. Meletti and E. Varini

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.1007/s10518-023-01822-8
2023, Journal article
Spatiotemporal analysis of the background seismicity identified by different declustering methods in northern Algeria and its vicinity
Benali, A; Jalilian, A; Peresan, A; Varini, E; Idrissou, S

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.3390/axioms12030237
2023, Journal article
The attenuation of macroseismic intensity in the volcanic island of Ischia (Gulf of Naples, Italy): comparison between deterministic and probabilistic models and application to seismic scenarios
Azzaro, R; D'Amico, S; Rotondi, R; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.1007/s10518-023-01724-9
2022, Journal article
Analysis of temporal variations of seismicity through non-extensive statistical physics
Rotondi, R; Bressan, G; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.1093/gji/ggac118
2022, Journal article
Productivity within the epidemic-type seismicity model
Molchan, G; Varini, E; Peresan, A

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.1093/gji/ggac269
2022, Journal article
Temporal variations of the probability distribution of voronoi cells generated by earthquake epicenters
Rotondi, R; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.3389/feart.2022.928348
2021, Journal article
Earthquake rupture forecasts for the MPS19 seismic hazard model of Italy
Visini, F; Pace, B; Meletti, C; Marzocchi, W; Akinci, A; Azzaro, R; Barani, S; Barberi, G; Barreca, G; Basili, R; Bird, P; Bonini, M; Burrato, P; Busetti, M; Cosimo Carafa, Mm; Cocina, O; Console, R; Corti, G; D'Agostino, N; D'Amico, S; D'Amico, V; Dal Cin, M; Falcone, G; Fracassi, U; Gee, R; Kastelic, V; Lai, Cg; Langer, H; Maesano, Fe; Marchesini, A; Martelli, L; Monaco, C; Murru, M; Peruzza, L; Poli, Me; Pondrelli, S; Rebez, A; Rotondi, R; Rovida, A; Sani, F; Santulin, M; Scafidi, D; Selva, J; Slejko, D; Spallarossa, D; Tamaro, A; Tarabusi, G; Taroni, M; Tiberti, Mm; Tusa, G; Tuvè, T; Valensise, G; Vannoli, P; Varini, E; Zanferrari, A; Zuccolo, E

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.4401/ag-8608
2021, Journal article
Probabilistic tsunami hazard and risk analysis: A review of research gaps
Behrens, J; Lovholt, F; Jalayer, F; Lorito, S; Salgadogálvez, M; Sorensen, M; Abadie, S; Aguirreayerbe, I; Anielquiroga, I; Babeyko, A; Baiguera, M; Basili, R; Belliazzi, S; Grezio, A; Johnson, K; Murphy, S; Paris, R; Rafliana, I; De Risi, R; Rossetto, T; Selva, J; Taroni, M; Del Zoppo, M; Armigliato, A; Bures, V; Cech, P; Cecioni, C; Christodoulides, P; Davies, G; Dias, F; Bayraktar, Hb; González, M; Gritsevich, M; Guillas, S; Harbitz, Cb; Kânoglu, U; Macías, J; Papadopoulos, Ga; Polet, J; Romano, F; Salamon, A; Scala, A; Stepinac, M; Tappin, Dr; Thio, Hk; Tonini, R; Triantafyllou, I; Ulrich, T; Varini, E; Volpe, M; Vyhmeister, E

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.3389/feart.2021.628772
2021, Journal article
The new Italian seismic hazard model (MPS19)
C. Meletti, W. Marzocchi, V. D'Amico, G. Lanzano, L. Luzi, F. Martinelli, B. Pace, A. Rovida, M. Taroni, F. Visini, and MPS19 Working Group

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.4401/ag-8579
2020, Journal article
Ground motion models for the new seismic hazard model of Italy (MPS19): selection for active shallow crustal regions and subduction zones
Lanzano, G; Luzi, L; D'Amico, V; Pacor, F; Meletti, C; Marzocchi, W; Rotondi, R; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.1007/s10518-020-00850-y
2020, Journal article
Modelling background seismicity components identified by nearest neighbour and stochastic declustering approaches: the case of Northeastern Italy
Benali, A; Peresan, A; Varini, E; Talbi, A

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.1007/s00477-020-01798-w
2020, Journal article
Topological Comparison Between the Stochastic and the Nearest-Neighbor Earthquake Declustering Methods Through Network Analysis
Varini, E; Peresan, A; Zhuang, J

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.1029/2020JB019718
2019, Journal article
Failure models driven by a self-correcting point process in earthquake occurrence modeling
Rotondi, R; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.1007/s00477-019-01663-5
2016, Journal article
Probabilistic modelling of macroseismic attenuation and forecast of damage scenarios
Rotondi, R; Varini, E; Brambilla, C

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.1007/s10518-015-9781-7
2016, Journal article
Stress release model and proxy measures of earthquake size. Application to Italian seismogenic sources
Varini, E; Rotondi, R; Basili, R; Barba, S

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.1016/j.tecto.2016.05.017
2016, Journal article
The role of the urban system dysfunction in the assessment of seismic risk in the Mt. Etna area (Italy)
Meroni, F; Zonno, G; Azzaro, R; D'Amico, S; Tuvè, T; S Oliveira, C; A Ferreira, M; Mota de Sá, F; Brambilla, C; Rotondi, R; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.1007/s10518-015-9780-8
2015, Journal article
Probability distribution of the waiting time in the stress release model: the Gompertz distribution
Varini, E; Rotondi, R

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.1007/s10651-014-0307-2
2012, Journal article
Global statistical tests for clustered earthquake pattern discovery in Italy
Rotondi, R; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.4081/rg.2012.e9
2008, Journal article
A Monte Carlo method for filtering a marked doubly stochastic Poisson process
Varini, E

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.1007/s10260-007-0051-y
2007, Journal article
Bayesian inference of stress release models applied to some Italian seismogenic zones
Rotondi, R; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.1111/j.1365-246X.2006.03314.x
2006, Journal article
Bayesian analysis of marked stress release models for time-dependent hazard assessment in the western Gulf of Corinth
Rotondi, R; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.1016/j.tecto.2006.03.005
2003, Journal article
Bayesian analysis of a marked point process: Application in seismic hazard assessment
Rotondi R. ; Varini E.

CNR@IRIS

Conference proceedings

2024, Conference proceedings
A comparison of intensity prediction equations for Italy
Gomez-Capera, A. A.; D'Amico, M.; D'Amico, V.; Lanzano, G.; Locati, M.; Meletti, C.; Santulin, M.; Varini, E.

CNR@IRIS | Link
2024, Conference proceedings
Towards a mulH-risk determinisHc scenario in the Mt. Etna area
Pessina, V; Meroni, F; Varini, E; Longoni, M; Rotondi, R; D’Amico, S; Cappello, A; Group, Panacea

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.13120/dna7-2n16
2023, Conference communications
A Bayesian approach to uncover temporal variations in seismicity
E. Varini and R. Rotondi

CNR@IRIS
2023, Conference proceedings
A Bayesian study of temporal changes in seismicity
Varini, E; Rotondi, R

CNR@IRIS
2023, Conference communications
Bayesian analysis of temporal changes in the probability distribution of seismic parameters and links with the seismic cycle
E. Varini and R. Rotondi

CNR@IRIS
2023, Meeting abstracts
Statistical analysis of declustered catalogues in Northeastern Italy
E. Varini, A. Peresan, and A. Benali

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.13120/2tf2-1j75
2023, Conference posters
Theoretical analysis of the productivity of seismic events
E. Varini, G. Molchan, and A. Peresan

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu23-1897
2022, Meeting abstracts
Bayesian analysis of temporal variations of seismicity based on non-extensive statistical mechanics
E. Varini and R. Rotondi

CNR@IRIS
2022, Conference proceedings
Earthquake declustering in Central Italy
Varini, Elisa; Peresan, A

CNR@IRIS
2022, Conference posters
Earthquake productivity within general ETAS models
E. Varini, G. Molchan, and A. Peresan

CNR@IRIS
2022, Conference proceedings
Spatiotemporal analysis of catalogues declustered by different methods in Northeastern Italy region
Benali, A; Peresan, A; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS
2022, Meeting abstracts
Temporal variations of seismicity from the application of Tsallis entropy
E. Varini, R. Rotondi, and G. Bressan

CNR@IRIS | Link
2021, Conference proceedings
A measure of criticality for a complex system in the context of non-extensive statistical mechanics
Rotondi, R; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS
2021, Meeting abstracts
Declustering algorithms, background seismicity modeling and earthquake clusters analysis
E. Varini, A. Peresan, A. Benali

CNR@IRIS
2021, Meeting abstracts
Markov modulated Poisson processes for stochastic modelling of background seismicity
E. Varini, A. Peresan and A. Benali

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.5194/egusphere-egu21-11036
2021, Meeting abstracts
Markov modulated Poisson processes for stochastic modelling of background seismicity
E. Varini, A. Peresan and A. Benali

CNR@IRIS
2021, Meeting abstracts
MMPP Models of Background Seismicity: A Comparative Analysis for Different Declustering Algorithms
E. Varini, A. Peresan. A. Benali

CNR@IRIS
2020, Conference proceedings
Bayesian stochastic modelling of the temporal evolutionof seismicity
Varini, E; Rotondi, R

CNR@IRIS
2020, Conference proceedings
Probabilistic damage scenarios from uncertain macroseismic data
Varini, E; Rotondi, R

CNR@IRIS
2020, Conference proceedings
Variations in the temporal evolution of seismicity pointed out by non-extensive statistical physics approach
Rotondi, R; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS
2019, Conference posters
Anisotropic attenuation of the macroseismic intensity
R. Rotondi and E. Varini

CNR@IRIS
2019, Conference proceedings
Anisotropic attenuation of the macroseismic intensity
R. Rotondi and E. Varini

CNR@IRIS
2019, Conference proceedings
Another step in the path from macroseismic fields to probabilistic modeling of attenuation
Rotondi, R; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS
2019, Conference proceedings
Capturing the complexity of earthquake sequences by different methods
Peresan, A; Varini, E; Zhuang, J

CNR@IRIS
2019, Meeting abstracts
Declustering algorithms and network theory for the topological inspection of earthquake sequences
E. Varini, A. Peresan A, and J. Zhuang

CNR@IRIS
2019, Conference proceedings
Earthquake clustering and centrality measures
Varini, E; Peresan, A; Zhuang, J

CNR@IRIS
2019, Conference proceedings
MPS19: the updated Italian Seismic Hazard model
Meletti C.; Marzocchi W.; D'amico V.; Luzi L.; Martinelli F.; Pace B.; Rovida A.; Visini F.;Mps Working Group

CNR@IRIS
2019, Conference proceedings
On the examination of a criticality measure for a complex system in a forecasting perspective
Rotondi, R; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS | Link
2019, Conference proceedings
Selection and weighing of ground motion prediction equations for the new seismic hazard model of Italy (MPS19)
D'Amico, V; Luzi, L; Lanzano, G; Pacor, F; Puglia, R; Marzocchi, W; Meletti, C; Rotondi, R; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS | Link
2019, Conference proceedings
Spatio-temporal earthquake clustering: insights and outlooks from Network Analysis
Varini, E; Peresan, A; Zhuang, J

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.6092/GRASPA19
2019, Conference proceedings
The seismicity models for the 2019 National Italian Seismic Hazard Model
Visini, F; Pace, B; Meletti, C; Marzocchi, W; the MPST Working Group,

CNR@IRIS
2018, Conference proceedings
A measure of the criticality of a seismogenic system from the viewpoint of statistical physics
Rotondi, R; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS
2018, Conference proceedings
A new proposal for stochastic modeling of earthquake occurrence through a compound model
Rotondi, R; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS
2018, Conference proceedings
Clustering macroseismic fields by statistical data depth functions
Agostinelli, C; Rotondi, R; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-55708-3_16
2018, Conference proceedings
Comparison of two clustering algorithms for the characterization of earthquake clusters
Varini, E; Peresan, A; Rotondi, R; Gentili, S

CNR@IRIS
2018, Meeting abstracts
Investigating the spatial features of earthquake clusters: insights from different methods
A. Peresan, R. Rotondi, E. Varini, and S. Gentili

CNR@IRIS | Link
2018, Conference proceedings
New seismicity models for the next national Italian seismic hazard model
Visini, F; Pace, B; Meletti, C; Marzocchi, W; MpsT Working Group,

CNR@IRIS
2018, Conference proceedings
Seismic scenarios and hazard assessment in the island of Ischia (Neapolitan volcanic district, Italy): a probabilistic approach based on macroseismic intensity data
Azzaro, R; D'Amico, S; Rotondi, R; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS
2018, Conference proceedings
Space-time earthquake clustering: nearest-neighbor and stochastic declustering methods in comparison
Varini, E; Peresan, A; Rotondi, R; Gentili, S

CNR@IRIS
2018, Conference proceedings
Spatial features of earthquake clusters investigated by different approaches
Peresan, A; Varini, E; Gentili, S; Rotondi, R

CNR@IRIS
2018, Conference proceedings
The attenuation of macroseismic intensity in Italy: A probabilistic approach to seismic scenarios and hazard assessment
Varini, E; Rotondi, R

CNR@IRIS
2017, Meeting abstracts
A comparative analysis of methods for identification and characterization of earthquake clusters
R. Rotondi, A. Peresan, S. Gentili, and E. Varini

CNR@IRIS
2017, Meeting abstracts
A failure process driven by a self-correcting model
E. Varini and R. Rotondi

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.21420/G23S33
2017, Conference communications
Bayesian inference and predictive accuracy of failure models driven by a self-correcting point process for long-term recurrence of strong earthquakes
E. Varini and R. Rotondi

CNR@IRIS
2017, Meeting abstracts
Combining failure and self-correcting processes in seismic risk analysis
R. Rotondi and E. Varini

CNR@IRIS
2017, Meeting abstracts
Failure processes driven by a selfcorrecting model. Application to earthquake sequences.
E. Varini and R. Rotondi

CNR@IRIS
2017, Conference proceedings
Identification of earthquake clusters through a new space-time-magnitude metric
Rotondi, R; Peresan, A; Gentili, S; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS
2017, Conference proceedings
Investigating features of earthquake clustering: a comparative analysis for selected sequences In Italy
Peresan, A; Rotondi, R; Varini, E; Gentili, S

CNR@IRIS
2017, Conference proceedings
L'attenuazione dell'intensità macrosismica nell'isola vulcanica di Ischia: confronto tra modelli deterministici e probabilistici e applicazione per la generazione di scenari di danno
Azzaro, R; D'Amico, S; Rotondi, R; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS
2017, Conference proceedings
On a failure process driven by a self-correcting model in seismic hazard assessment
Rotondi, R; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.36253/978-88-6453-521-0
2017, Conference proceedings
Selection and ranking of the ground motion prediction equations for the new Italian hazard map (MPS16)
Lanzano, G; Luzi, L; Rotondi, R; Varini, E; Marzocchi, W

CNR@IRIS
2016, Meeting abstracts
A new statistical time-dependent model of earthquake occurrence: failure processes driven by a self-correcting model
R. Rotondi and E. Varini

CNR@IRIS | Link
2016, Conference proceedings
Clustering macroseismic fields by statistical data depth functions
Agostinelli, C; Rotondi, R; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS | Link
2016, Conference posters
On failure processes driven by a self-correcting model. Application to sequences of seismic events
R. Rotondi and E. Varini

CNR@IRIS
2016, Meeting abstracts
On the predictive information criteria for model determination in seismic hazard analysis
E. Varini and R. Rotondi

CNR@IRIS | Link
2016, Meeting abstracts
Ranking ground-motion prediction models in different seismotectonic contexts: the experience for the new Italian seismic hazard model (MPS16)
G. Lanzano, L. Luzi, F. Pacor, R. Puglia, V. D'Amico, C. Meletti, W. Marzocchi, R. Rotondi, and E. Varini

CNR@IRIS
2015, Conference proceedings
Applying the disruption index procedure to evaluate the urban seismic risk in the Mt. Etna area (Italy)
Zonno, G; Azzaro, R; Meroni, F; D'Amico, S; Tuvè, T; A Ferreira, M; Mota de Sá, F; S Oliveira, C; Brambilla, C; Rotondi, R; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-09048-1_71
2015, Conference posters
On the convolution of stochastic processes for modelling strong earthquake occurrences: a multi-rupture model driven by a self-correcting model
R. Rotondi and E. Varini

CNR@IRIS | Link
2015, Meeting abstracts
Statistical data depth for clustering macroseismic fields
C. Agostinelli, R. Rotondi, and E. Varini

CNR@IRIS
2014, Conference posters
A state-space model for the analysis of seismic swarms.
E. Varini and Y. Ogata

CNR@IRIS
2014, Conference proceedings
Macroseismic attenuation from probabilistic perspective in European countries
Rotondi, R; Varini, E; Brambilla, C

CNR@IRIS
2014, Conference proceedings
On assessing importance of components in dysfunction urban systems given an earthquake: the case of Mt Etna region
Zonno, G; Meroni, F; D'Amico, S; Tuvè, T; Azzaro, R; Oliveira, Cs; Ferreira, Ma; Mota de Sà, F; Brambilla, C; Rotondi, R; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS
2014, Conference communications
Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis from local macroseismic history: a new implementation of the SASHA code
D. Albarello, V. D'Amico, R. Rotondi, E. Varini, and G. Zonno

CNR@IRIS
2014, Conference proceedings
Probabilistic seismic hazard estimates from local seismic history - A tool for risk assessment in urban areas
Albarello, D; D'Amico, V; Rotondi, R; Varini, E; Zonno, G

CNR@IRIS
2014, Conference proceedings
Statistical modelling for identification of earthquake clusters
Varini, E; Ogata, Y

CNR@IRIS | Link
2014, Conference communications
The Gompertz waiting time distributions of the stress release model in the bayesian framework.
E. Varini and R. Rotondi

CNR@IRIS | Link
2014, Conference proceedings
UPSTRAT-MAFA European project - Developments and achievements
G. Zonno, R. Rotondi, C.S. Oliveira, A. Carvalho, M. Garcia-Fernandez, R. Sigbjörnsson, and Working Group of UPStrat-MAFA project

CNR@IRIS
2013, Conference proceedings
A beta-binomial model for macroseismic attenuation. Case studies in European countries
Rotondi, R; Brambilla, C; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS
2013, Conference communications
Application of simulated data.
G. Zonno, E. Varini, and A. Carvalho

CNR@IRIS
2013, Meeting abstracts
Generalized probabilistic seismic hazard estimates in terms of macroseismic intensity as a tool for risk assessment in urban areas.
D. Albarello, V. D'Amico, R. Rotondi, E. Varini, and Zonno G.

CNR@IRIS
2013, Conference proceedings
Modelling the occurrence of strong earthquakes through the superposition of two stochastic processes: a multi-rupture model driven by a self-correcting model.
Rotondi, R; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS
2013, Conference proceedings
On the macroseismic attenuation from the probabilistic perspective.
Rotondi, R; Brambilla, C; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS
2013, Conference posters
On the macroseismic attenuation from the probabilistic perspective. Applications in European countries.
R. Rotondi, C. Brambilla, and E. Varini

CNR@IRIS
2013, Meeting abstracts
On the stress release models with new tips from geophysics: Bayesian estimation, forecasting and validation.
E. Varini, R. Rotondi, R. Basili, S. Barba, and B. Betrò

CNR@IRIS
2013, Conference communications
Probabilistic analysis of macroseismic data: modelling.
R. Rotondi, C. Brambilla, and E. Varini

CNR@IRIS | Link
2013, Conference communications
Probabilistic analysis of macroseismic data: results.
R. Rotondi, C. Brambilla, and E. Varini

CNR@IRIS | Link
2013, Meeting abstracts
Self-correcting models driven by seismic strain, moment or energy. Applications to the Italian seismicity.
E. Varini, R. Rotondi, R. Basili, S. Barba, and B. Betrò

CNR@IRIS
2013, Conference proceedings
The disruption index evaluation in the urban Mt. Etna area (Italy).
Meroni, F; Azzaro, R; D'Amico, S; Tuvè, T; Zonno, G; Ferreira, Af; Mota de Sà, F; Oliveira, Cs; Brambilla, C; Rotondi, R; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS
2013, Conference proceedings
Validation of macroseismic scenarios from a beta-binomial model.
Rotondi, R; Brambilla, C; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS
2012, Meeting abstracts
A self-correcting stochastic model of earthquake occurrence enhanced by geologic fault data
R. Rotondi, E. Varini, R. Basili, S. Barba, and B. Betrò

CNR@IRIS | Link
2012, Conference communications
A self-correcting stochastic model of earthquake occurrence enhanced by geological fault data
R. Rotondi, E. Varini, R. Basili, S. Barba, and B. Betrò

CNR@IRIS
2012, Conference communications
Estimation of macroseismic scenarios in European countries
R. Rotondi, R. Sigbjörnsson, E. Varini, and C. Brambilla

CNR@IRIS | Link
2012, Meeting abstracts
Estimation of macroseismic scenarios in European countries.
R. Rotondi, R. Sigbjornsson, E. Varini, and C. Brambilla

CNR@IRIS | Link
2012, Conference proceedings
Probabilistic analysis of macroseismic fields: Iceland case study
Rotondi, R; Brambilla, C; Varini, E; Sigbjörnsson, R

CNR@IRIS
2012, Conference proceedings
Self-correcting models with different measures of the earthquake strength
Varini, E; Rotondi, R; Basili, R; Barba, S; Betrò, B

CNR@IRIS
2012, Conference proceedings
Urban disaster-prevention strategies using macroseismic fields and fault sources
G. Zonno, R. Azzaro, F. Bianco, P. Cusano, S. D'Amico, V. D'Amico, S. Falsaperla, D. Galluzzo, H. Langer, F. Meroni, G. Musacchio, R. Nave, F. Sansivero, L. Scarfi, R. Rotondi, C. Brambilla, E. Varini, C.S. Oliveira, M.A. Ferreira, M. Lopes, F. Mota de Sá, J.C. Nunes, A. Carvalho, M.L. Sousa, S. Raposo, M. Garcia-Fernandez, A. Beltran, J. Jenni, M.J. Jimenez, R. Sigbjörnsson, A.E. Bernhardsdottir, S. Olafsson, R. Rupakhety, S.U. Sigurdsson, S. Thorvaldsdottir, and D. Albarello

CNR@IRIS
2011, Conference proceedings
Clustering and classification in hazard evaluation
Rotondi, R; Varini, E; Zonno, G

CNR@IRIS
2011, Conference proceedings
Clustering and classification of macroseismic fields in hazard evaluation
Rotondi, R; Varini, E; Zonno, G

CNR@IRIS
2011, Conference proceedings
Is space-time interaction real or apparent in seismic activity?
Rotondi, R; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS
2011, Meeting abstracts
Statistical tests for the retrospective detection of space-time clusters of seismic events.
E. Varini and R. Rotondi

CNR@IRIS
2010, Conference proceedings
Bayesian estimation of doubly stochastic Poisson processes for detection of seismicity phases
Varini, E; Ogata, Y

CNR@IRIS | Link
2010, Meeting abstracts
Occurrence Probability in Seismogenic Areas of DISS3.0.2 by Renewal Process: Importance of the Consistency between Model Assumptions and Input Data
R. Rotondi, S. Barba, R. Basili, E. Varini, and B. Betrò

CNR@IRIS
2010, Conference proceedings
Seismic hazard assessment by slip, strain and moment-based self-correcting models
Varini, E; Rotondi, R; Betrò, B; Barba, S; Basili, R

CNR@IRIS
2010, Meeting abstracts
Statistical significance of earthquake space-time clustering: Italy case
R. Rotondi and E. Varini

CNR@IRIS
2009, Conference communications
Bayesian analysis of a state-space model with a nonstationary state process
Varini E., Rotondi R.

CNR@IRIS
2009, Conference communications
Bayesian estimation of the conditional intensity function in self-correcting point processes applied to the seismic activity of Italian tectonic regions
Rotondi R., Varini E.

CNR@IRIS
2009, Conference proceedings
Bayesian inference of a doubly stochastic Poisson process with a non-stationary state process
Rotondi R.; Varini E.

CNR@IRIS
2009, Conference proceedings
Multi-step analysis of seismic hazard through point processes
Varini, E; Rotondi, R

CNR@IRIS
2009, Conference proceedings
Self-correcting models for seismic hazard assessment in comparison
Varini, E; Rotondi, R; Betrò, B; Barba, S; Basili, R

CNR@IRIS
2009, Meeting abstracts
Time-dependent seismic hazard assessment through a self-correcting point process for the slip
Varini E., Rotondi R.

CNR@IRIS
2008, Conference proceedings
A HMM involving stress release and Etas models
Varini, E; Rotondi, R

CNR@IRIS
2008, Conference proceedings
Examples of How the Stochastic Modelling Helps in Understanding the Earthquake Dynamics
Rotondi R.; Varini E.

CNR@IRIS
2008, Conference proceedings
Filtering and inference of a doubly stochastic Poisson process
Varini E; Chopin N.; Rotondi R.

CNR@IRIS
2008, Conference communications
Stochastic analysis of natural hazards
B. Betrò (oratore), A. Bodini , C. Brambilla, R. Rotondi E. Varini

CNR@IRIS
2007, Conference communications
Likelihood inference for continuous-time hidden Markov models.
Chopin Nicolas, Varini E.

CNR@IRIS
2007, Conference proceedings
Likelihood inference for continuous-time state-space models
Chopin N., Varini E.

CNR@IRIS
2007, Conference posters
Nonstationary Markov processes in phase transition modelling
Rotondi R., Varini E.

CNR@IRIS
2007, Conference proceedings
Particle filtering for continuous-time hidden Markov models
Chopin, N; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS | DOI: 10.1051/proc:071903
2006, Meeting abstracts
Modelli di rilascio di sforzo e aree sismogenetiche
Rotondi R. e Varini E.

CNR@IRIS
2006, Conference proceedings
Particle filtering of a state-space model for seismic sequences
Chopin N.; Varini E.

CNR@IRIS
2006, Conference communications
Reconciling short- and long-term seismic modelling
Rotondi R. e Varini E.

CNR@IRIS
2005, Conference proceedings
Previsione del prossimo terremoto attraverso la simulazione stocastica di un modello stress release
Rotondi, R; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS
2005, Conference proceedings
Stochastic simulation of point process models for forecasting seismic events
Rotondi R.; Varini E.

CNR@IRIS
2004, Conference proceedings
Valutazione della pericolosità sismica nella regione Sannio-Matese-Ofanto-Irpinia attraverso modelli di rilascio di sforzo
Rotondi, R; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS
2003, Conference proceedings
Bayesian analysis of linked stress release models
Rotondi, R; Varini, E

CNR@IRIS

Report and working paper

2014, Research report
Task B - Probabilistic analysis of macroseismic data to forecast damage scenarios
Rotondi, R; Brambilla, C; Varini, E; Zonno, G

CNR@IRIS | Link
2013, Technical report
Strain-, moment- and energy-based self-correcting models for probabilistic seismic hazard analysis in Italy.
E. Varini, R. Rotondi, R. Basili, S. Barba, and B. Betrò

CNR@IRIS
2011, Research report
Impatto dei cambiamenti climatici sulle produzioni agricole: strategie di adattamento ai processi di desertificazione nelle aree mediterranee (CYCAS-MED). Report finale - Parte A.
Bodini, A; Cesaraccio, C; Dubrovsky, M; Duce, P; Varini, E; Zara, P

CNR@IRIS
2000, Technical report
Studio di modelli di rilascio di sforzo e di modelli epidemici: applicazione ai terremoti dell'Arco Calabro
Varini, E

CNR@IRIS

Multimedia application or product

2023, Other product
Statistica bayesiana per lo studio di sequenze di terremoti
Varini, E

CNR@IRIS | Link
2014, Other product
Urban Disaster Prevention Strategies using MAcroseismic Fields and FAult Sources
R. Nave, F. Sansivero, G. Zonno (DVD contents revision and structuring), and Partners of UPStrat-MAFA Project

CNR@IRIS

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